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The Construction of Dogmas in Climate ScienceUse of the scientific method would greatly benefit global warming discussionAugust 1, 2006 by CFACT When you have eliminated the impossible, Atmospheric CO2 is as important as oxygen for life on Earth. Without CO2, plant photosynthetic metabolism would not be possible, and the present life-forms on Earth would vanish. Over the last years, it has been a dogma to many that the apparent increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is being caused primarily by anthropogenic burning of fossil carbon in the forms of petroleum, coal, and natural gas. This extra atmospheric CO2 is said to cause drastic global climatic change with a significant atmospheric temperature rise. It is indeed a paradox that CO2, formerly "The Gas of Life", is now being condemned as the "polluting" gas and a threat to human life, through a postulated "Global Warming". With further testing this hypothesis can be exalted to a law of nature, which in turn can be used to reject other hypotheses not supported by observations and experiments. It is, of course, fundamental that all three major parts of the scientific method is based on sound statistical procedures regarding sampling theory, data representation, significance, error propagation, causality, etc., and should be unbiased and free of advocacy. If any part of the evidence does not support the hypothesis, the hypothesis should be rejected (Churchman, 1948). In recent years, environmentalism seems to have taken a prominent place on the political scene. Many who champion this new "ism" sadly allege that Man is destructive, unnatural, and guilty of destroying the entire planet. The "proofs" used in this respect are based on selected portions of science which, in many cases, are not based on the objectivity of the scientific method of natural sciences (Sanford, 1992). Rather the "proofs" employ a rejection of reason, and are based on the scientific method of philosophy, where the fundamental three parts of the scientific method of natural sciences do not apply. In natural sciences, knowledge is obtained by validating the content of one's mind according to the facts of reality. Truth then corresponds to reality. In philosophy the world is largely artificial, and truth is redefined to mean coherence among ideas -- much along the views of the philosopher Immanuel Kant. Hence a dogma can be constructed by ignoring reality, and rather appealing to authority or consensus as invalid substitutes for reason. In philosophy hypotheses can be proposed, validated, and accepted without reference to facts (Sanford, 1992). We see that most often the treatment of what is normal or natural is lacking from the environmental "dooms," and that we only are told what is "abnormal" or "unnatural" without an indisputable baseline reference. To construct a dogma, the philosophical methodology is to start with an idea one “feels” is correct and then to find the necessary evidence one needs to support it. Reason will then have to be substituted by intuition, belief, faith, emotions, or feelings as the ultimate source of knowledge. Sanford (1992) further points out that the "ecosopher" Arne Nćss (1990) begins a book with the section "Beginning with intuitions" and a feeling of "our world in crisis." The dogma will be accepted as truth by the people at large if it will be supported by "authorities," "experts," and well-known important people, not necessarily with their expertise in the relevant field; and especially so if the dogma is being supported by international bodies or assemblies, and given a wide and one-sided coverage by the media. The dogma will be even more appealing if it appears as a self-fulfilling prophecy. The marketing and influence, i.e. the psychology of persuasion of a dogma, will therefore be important for it to be accepted as truth. The greater the number of people who find any idea correct, the more the idea will appear to be correct among people. People are usually not able to use all relevant information available. They use instead only a single, highly representative piece of the relevant information. When something is presented as a scary scenario, such as climate change, it creates an emotional reaction that makes it difficult to think straight (i.e. consider all facts), especially if there is fostered among the public a belief that decisions regarding this common crisis must be made fast (Cialdini, 1993). This is what has been called the "scare-them-to-death" approach (Böttcher, 1996), and makes the foundation for creating a doomsday dogma. Stephen Schneider, a climatologist and leading proponent of the global warming theory, says: "To capture the public imagination ... we have to offer up some scary scenarios, make simplified dramatic statements and little mention of any doubts one might have," thereby acting as an advocate for his subjective belief in the "Greenhouse Effect Global Warming" dogma rather than as an objective scientist (Sanford, 1992). A doomsday dogma made under these conditions will very likely cause a political turmoil. The old saying "Everybody talks about the weather, and nobody does anything about it" is claimed to be invalid, especially when Man's burning of fossil fuel allegedly will change the world's climates. The creation of a "CO2 Greenhouse Effect Doom" dogma will easily give more power and money to politicians and government officials, letting them introduce legislation and taxation on energy consumption and people's way of living by implementing policies infringing on technology, industry, and freedom. Prof. Tom V. Segalstad is Head of the Geological Museum within the Natural History Museum of the University of Oslo (Norway) and a Scientific Advisor to CFACT Europe. He was an official Expert Reviewer to the IPCC Third Assessment.
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U.S. meat production per acre has doubled since 1970, largely due to pesticides, veterinary chemistry, and better plant breeding... { from Giving up meat to Save the Planet? } How do you turn something as plentiful as grass into food? Feed it to cows and have a B.B.Q.! U.S. meat production per acre has doubled since 1970, largely due to pesticides, veterinary chemistry, and better plant breeding... { from Giving up meat to Save the Planet? } Scientific "consensus" and other shady sales tactics promote alarmist theories... { from Global warming bait-and-switch } Scientific "consensus" and other shady sales tactics promote alarmist theories... { from Global warming bait-and-switch } |
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Eco-terrorism hits Maryland: 'Inconvenient Terrorist' latest in long line
Inconvenient terrorist James Lee who was shot and killed by a SWAT team in the Discovery Channel Building in Silver Spring, Maryland, is the latest of a long line of eco-terrorists
An Inconvenient Terrorist
Armed eco-terrorist who experienced an “awakening” by watching Al Gore's Inconvenient Truth was shot and killed after storming Discovery Channel Building. Radical manifesto condemns 'parasitic children' and human civilization, calling for sterilization and giving the planet back to the squirrels.
An ill wind in New Jersey
Proposed windmill would cost $7 million, stand taller than the Statue of Liberty, and when the wind isn't blowing would need to be kept turning with electricity from a traditional plant in order to avoid mechanical failure.
End environmental experiments on Africans!
Environmentalists are using African parents and children in anti-DDT experiments. They are playing with our lives. So are the government agencies and others who support their policies. This is wrong and immoral. And it is only one of the ways they use Africans as experimental laboratory animals.
Prepare for an ice age!
"Little ice ages" are the flip side of the 1500-year warming cycle. We should take advantage of the favorable climate we are currently enjoying to increase research on high-yield agriculture, biotechnology, water conservation and other advances now only dreamt of.
Howard Stern: 'Bring back DDT!'
Stern argues that New York's bedbug problem is nothing compared to the millions dying from malaria in Africa, quoting extensively from an article by CFACT's Paul Driessen.
New York's bedbugs vs. Africa's malaria crisis
Our obsession with pesticide “risks” has very different consequences for America and Africa.
How to save the Chesapeake Bay: Oysters vs. Regulations
Oysters kept the Bay clean in the past, but the EPA is ignoring this proven solution in favor of big government regulations.
New ethanol policy poses heavy cost for consumers
E15 ethanol mandates would bring huge benefits for ethanol producers at the expense of the rest of us.
Empowering the poor in the Yucatan jungle
Local villagers struggle to survive in Becan, but a new program promises to bring prosperity by unleashing their creativity and energy.
The global warming fleecing of the American taxpayer
The federal government has spent tens of billions of taxpayer dollars on research that has completely failed to affect temperatures or demonstrate an empirical link between human CO2 emissions and global warming.
Target: Monckton
Lord Monckton is under attack, a sure sign that he’s winning on warming. Monckton fights back and refutes Prof. Abraham.
New coal mine approved in Utah
In a victory for the nation’s beleaguered resources industry, Utah officials have approved a permit for a coal mine in their state.
EPA set to crack down on farm dust
Agency believes dust is a pollutant and wants to impose stringent limitations on the amount of dust farmers are allowed to kick up while plying their trade.
Climate Depot’s award hat trick
Marc Morano receives another award for his journalism covering the global warming movement.
Climate proposals threaten pursuit of happiness and justice
New study documents harmful effects of “cap-and-trade” and “endangerment” schemes.
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