While in the US Senate the disclosed confidential e-mails and documents on the web, regardless of how it occurred, is expected to pull the plug on “cap and trade” legislation, EU governments continue to walk straight ahead, although the expression “Climategate” is meanwhile even known on Wikipedia . The new German environment minister Norbert Röttgen still shows confidence that the Copenhagen Summit will find a binding agreement on CO2 emission caps and thus open the way for world wide CO2 rationing by emissions trading. He seems not at all impressed by American climate scientist Manuel Zorita’s open letter published on the website of the German coastal research institute GKSS, where Zorita currently works. In this letter Zorita is asking for exclusion of Michael Mann, Phil Jones and Stefan Rahmstorf from the IPCC process because those leading IPCC members have obviously “hijacked scientific debate to advance other agendas”. One of the consequences of this request was the temporary step down of CRU head Phil Jones from his function.
The real reason behind the apparent stubbornness of EU’s political class is the fact that the European Emissions Trading System (ETS) is already on its way. It would have to be changed or even completely stopped, if other parts of the world do not follow this way. The Copenhagen Climate Summit is probably the last chance for promoting a worldwide Cap & Trade system. Its failure would be very bad news for European welfare states. ETS in fact would have the same effect as a carbon tax which was for the very first time proposed in 1988 by Swedish Prime Minister Ingvar Carlsson in order to stop the progression of the Scandinavian country’s repulsive high income tax and to put the financing of the inflated welfare state’s budget on a firmer foundation. It seems that IPCC was specially created in order to promote the idea of the carbon tax worldwide with the help of (pseudo-)scientific arguments. This would explain why Carlsson’s special adviser Bert Bolin became IPCC’s first president. Since carbon tax turned out to be very unpopular, economists were charged to hide the tax proposal behind the emissions trading system which would have the same effect for the states’ finances. A friend of mine even considers that “Climategate” was launched consciously by promoters of cap & trade in order to push Western governments to realize the last opportunity for a break through.
I do not support this conspiracy hypothesis. However, I agree with the opinion that Copenhagen is the last chance for a generalised cap & trade system. For there is now much larger pressure from China and other emerging economies whose leaders have noticed that Copenhagen offers them a chance to break Western dominance. In the Chinese view, Western “climate policy” is suicidal. China and other developing countries prefer defending their right to develop in contrast to such policy of death. One of the speakers of the new movement against Western global warming crusade is our African colleague Fiona Kobusingye chairman of the human rights and economic development group CORE Uganda. “Telling Africans they can’t have electricity and economic development – except what can be produced with some wind turbines or little solar panels – is immoral. It is a crime against humanity. Meanwhile, China and India are building new coal-fired power plants every week, so that they can lift their people out of poverty. So even if Africa remains impoverished – and the US and Europe switched to windmills and nuclear power – global carbon dioxide levels would continue increasing for decades” Fiona Kobusingye declared recently.