Game on in the tropics

I kept cautioning some of my AGW friends, gloating over the lack of a hurricane season, that a frenzy was likely, and here it comes. While Gabrielle is going east, the next two hatched areas are going to develop, and one, or both of them, is likely to impact the U.S.

The media is already making a deal about the rapid feedback of Gabrielle yet would not mention for 4 days she did not intensify at all. Imagine what they will do if this happens.

Remember the epic movie Cool Hand Luke (and later in Smokey and the Bandit)? The two redneck Southern sheriffs make a comment, ” What we are dealing with here is a  complete lack of respect for the law.” Well, we have the same thing today in weather and climate due to the whole sewage-based politicization of the matter. What I suspected ten years ago, but now know, is for non-science reasons. Every year, it’s the same thing with weather events that should happen naturally. I do not subscribe to using the same tactics as the bulk of the media. I feel simply pointing out the truth (like distorted warming and its impacts, for instance, and then trying to circle back to its cause) suffices.

By the way, we have had several rapid feedback storms. All of them are compact, which means they can focus their feedback. Erin was 100 miles north of St. Maarten, and they had 10 mile an hour winds. Gabrielle passed within 150 of Bermuda, and it had 15 mph winds. And what of all the storms that don’t intensify fast and all the waves that never develop? Fat chance they bring up that.

In any case, one or both of the disturbances are likely to impact the U.S. next week.

We have an upper low north of Hispaniola, the same one that fought Gabrielle, but then, once backing away, allowed her to kick butt with intensification (fat chance media would mention that). It is now backing out of the area that both disturbances are coming toward, and that is a good setup for development.

The AI spreads are impressive.

Saturday:

Then they morph into this by Wednesday:

And if one or both of them impact the U.S. within a few days of each other, fat chance these outlets will bring up September 4, 1933, with 2 majors hitting the U.S. within 18 hours. Or the Connie, Diane tandem, 2 in 5 days in 1955. Of course not. But then again, should this be correct, it will show why you can’t use it the other way either.

There is a large-scale reason for, despite the current pickup, the overall lack of activity in the tropics globally, especially the Western Pacific which has had this going on for 2 decades. And if there is any canary in the tropical coal mine, climate-wise, it’s that. But I have found that the weather likes to shut me up when I close my mind to ideas. And when you mess with the tropics, it loves to do that.

But what a shame, eh? Ruins the purity and majesty of what is, to someone like me, and probably you, the greatest source of wonder and awe in nature.

The point to prove, IMO, is there is no point. It’s the only conclusion I can arrive at.

Game on in the tropics.