Bonn update: Funding, forests and 1.5

CFACT’s analysts at the UN global warming summit in Bonn report that delegates have moved a step closer to preparing an international agreement for President Obama to sign this December in Paris (without Senate ratification).

They agreed on a formula for the “REDD+” forest program.

If the UN succeeds in getting its agreement, REDD+ would require the U.S. and its allies to transfer billions of dollars to developing nations to subsidize forestry programs. This means big money for “carbon credit” profiteers.

REDD+ is particularly troublesome to indigenous and local townspeople who often find their land transferred to the control of government, or Green NGOs, for the purpose of fulfilling these carbon transfer arrangements.

Sometimes violently.

In 2010 armed troops evicted villagers in Uganda’s Mubende District to make way for a carbon credit tree plantation. Their houses were burned. In one tragic instance, an eight-year-old named Mukamperezida was sick in bed and burned to death while his mother was out getting medicine.

Subordinating the rights of locals to the global warming agenda was key to the UN’s ability to reach a REDD+ compromise.

There are also serious differences at the talks over an effort to reduce the UN’s target from restricting global temperatures to a 2 degree Celsius rise to 1.5 degrees.

The 2 degree target is economically devastating, and 1.5 would be far worse.

That climate computer models are to date wildly inaccurate does not enter into the discussion.

China and India notified the summit that they will not restrict their emissions in the near term and refused the 1.5 degree target. Unless one side budges this could deadlock a key part of the talks.

The U.S. Congress is having none of it.

The proposed House budget zeroes out President Obama’s request for $500 million as a first installment of $3 billion in U.S. contributions to the UN’s “Green Climate Fund.” The House also defunded the UN IPCC and the global warming programs at CIA and the State Department.

This illustrates a likely future scenario under which President Obama orders the federal bureaucracy to comply with a global warming agreement while Congress may balk at funding.

This places the American global warming negotiating team in an awkward position. Many developing nations are only in it for the cash. The UN is effectively bribing them to sign its agreement in exchange for wealth redistribution.

Expect a substantial portion of the Green Climate Fund to end up in the Swiss bank accounts of developing nation government officials.

The deeper you look into the UN climate process the more ludicrous it becomes.

We’ll keep you posted.

 

Ugandans evicted for carbon credits

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About the Author: Craig Rucker

Craig Rucker is the executive director and co-founder of CFACT.