EPA ruled by cherry-picking junk science

Crony peer reviews, "secret science," and false assumptions are the rule, not the exception

Jay LehrThe U.S. Supreme Court has finally blocked one of the Obama EPA’s most ambitious regulatory “Clean Power Plan” initiatives aimed at closing coal-fired power plants.

A 5-4 decision ruled that the agency’s draconian new Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) restrictions had failed to take into account “appropriate and necessary” provisions established by the Clean Air Act into account by not considering punishing economic cost impacts.

So that’s really good news … right? Well, maybe not all that much after all. It certainly won’t change the agency’s radical agenda-driven book-cooking benefit accounting culture.

My good friend, Heartland Institute Science Director Jay Lehr, believes that, although that judicial slap-back on EPA’s rule-making overreach is long overdue, it’s high time for Congress and state governments to exact a more fundamental intervention.

His plan would transfer federal regulatory authority of what has become little more than a wholly owned subsidiary of special interest groups to an organization of state–accountable agencies.

Doing so won’t be easy. It will require wrestling stranglehold control away from powerful federal status quo stakeholders, including politically influential anti-fossil fuel organizations and rent-seeking wind and solar energy lobbies.

Battle-hardened Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker agrees with an EPA decentralization priority. Speaking at a June 2 campaign scottwalker3event, the presumed presidential candidate said that “Every state has the equivalent of the EPA … not that they’re all perfect, but they’re much more effective, much more efficient, and certainly more accountable at the state and local level than they are in Washington.”

Realistically, the Supreme Court’s requirement that the EPA be held accountable to consider regulatory costs versus benefits means virtually nothing so long as the agency is allowed to define the accounting terms. Their MATS rule offers a great example of junk science-based analyses gone totally berserk.

The assessment begins with a whopper of an assumption that about 6% of all pregnant women in America eat as much as 300 pounds of lake fish annually which passes mercury from power plants to their unborn children. This, they assert, results in lowering their children’s IQs by an average 0.009 point. (Never mind that the average IQ test has a 5-point error margin.)

The EPA then goes on to speculate — based upon a few cherry-picked Education Department lead-exposure studies — that each IQ point lost will reduce each exposed child’s future income potential between $892 to $1,958 annually.

ascaliaBased on the EPA’s direct mercury-reduction health estimates of $4 to $6 million annually compared with added $9.6 billion in in industry costs, Justice Antonin Scalia wrote that the resulting 1,600 to 2,400 costs times single benefit ratio “strayed well beyond the bounds of reasonable interpretation in concluding the cost is not a relevant factor.”

The EPA previously attempted to pull another rabbit-out-of-hat magic trick by claiming an additional $33 billion to $90 billion in “co-benefits” of requiring plants to install technology to remove particulate pollutants from the emissions stream.

Former senior EPA analyst Alan Carlin describes another favored fuzzy math rule justification tactic termed the “linear no-threshold assumption.” This argument applies a sort of logic that if 100 aspirins constitute a fatal dose, then 1 out of 100 people taking one aspirin will die.

The EPA currently gets away with withholding scientific reference sources and methodologies even from Congress. This includes highly exaggerated health benefit claims based upon just a few cherry-picked reports — while hundreds of reputable contradictory studies are ignored. Peer reviews are often conducted by EPA employees, authors of the preferred studies, and employees of the same institutions paid by the EPA to conduct the research.

A U.S. House-approved “Secret Science Reform Act,” introduced by Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX), would attempt to curtail these barrassowypractices by prohibiting the agency from proposing, finalizing, or disseminating regulations or assessments based upon science that is not transparent or not reproducible. Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY) has sponsored the same bill which a committee has now voted to send to the Senate floor.

Failures of EPA accountability have also prompted the House to pass a “Regulations from the Executive in Need of Scrutiny” (REINS) bill in 2013. If implemented, the legislation will require full Congressional approval of any Executive Branch regulations costing $100 million or more.

Although these efforts to rein in the EPA’s runaway overreach are a good start, they don’t go nearly far enough. The best “appropriate and necessary” intervention will be to disband the federal EPA altogether and let the individual states attend to sensible priorities they care about most and understand best.

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NOTE: A version of this article also appears at :  http://www.newsmax.com/LarryBell/epa-climate-global-warming/2015/07/06/id/653597/#ixzz3fEOpCyXw

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About the Author: Larry Bell

Larry Bell

CFACT Advisor Larry Bell heads the graduate program in space architecture at the University of Houston. He founded and directs the Sasakawa International Center for Space Architecture. He is also the author of "Climate of Corruption: Politics and Power Behind the Global Warming Hoax."

  • Brin Jenkins

    Now that we have another ice age warning I’m left rather confused?

    Is this another bandwagon to be over promoted for fiscal and population control?

    Or is it to distract our attention from the serious economic damage already caused by the warmists?