“Plastics… There’s a great future in plastics.” So said “Mr. McGuire” to Dustin Hoffman’s character, Ben Braddock, in The Graduate. Indeed, Mr. McGuire was prescient. In more than half a century since he gave his succinct advice, plastic products have become ubiquitous and cheap thanks to a super-efficient global supply chain system from manufacture to consumption.

We are now at the point where “the entire planet is being wrapped in plastic,” writes Jack Buffington, in his recent book Peak Plastic, released earlier this year. “There is no part of the world that is free of plastic waste” as a result since only 7 percent of it is recycled, he writes. Over a few generations, plastic use has become a “marketing marvel and, at the same time, a planetary crisis.” Since just prior to World War II, annual plastic use has grown from 2 million tons to 380 million tons today.

Buffington is Professor of Supply Chain Management at University College and the Daniels College of Business at the University of Denver. He also is responsible warehousing and fulfillment at Miller/Coors beer, and authored several other books including The Recycling Myth.

In Peak Plastic, Prof. Buffington documents the pervasiveness of “our synthetic world,” which he acknowledges has contributed to economic growth over decades such that billions of people globally have been pulled out of poverty. He also, however, documents the mounting waste and environmental damage from plastic disposal, particularly in the oceans; and its potential negative health effects on humans. Buffington predicts that by 2030 the world will reach “peak plastic” when the marginal benefit of plastic use to society will be less than its detrimental cost to the environment.

The book reminds us that plastic has become such a part of our lives, we can forget how it really surrounds us in products we use every day, all day, from dressing to washing to eating to using a laptop, driving a car and much more. Plastic is everywhere useful, but soon its waste build-up and leaching will overcome us, Buffington believes.

At present, plastic has little use or value after it’s used, and even recycling at a greater rate is unrealistic and of little help, according to Professor Buffington. He is so alarmed by this coming of the plastic “tipping point” that he sounds at times like Sterling Hayden’s character, “General Jack D. Ripper,” in Dr. Strangelove. Plastics thrown away after use can last for hundreds of years and will result, Buffington writes, in “the mass infiltration of additive chemicals left to leach uncontrollably through trillions of individual articles into the oceans, rivers, lakes, groundwater, land, wildlife and our bodies.” (emphasis mine).

While plastic products surround us, their actual health hazard to humans is debatable. Buffington believes while there are grave health risks, he admits more needs to be learned since many studies of the health impact of plastics are inconclusive.

With advances in scientifically measuring minute particles of chemicals and substances, we’ve come to learn that the food we eat, the water we drink and the air we breathe contains a lot of unpleasant, even harmful substances that, if present in much larger amounts, might be harmful.

Peak Plastic mostly identifies the resulting problems of the exponential growth in plastic use globally, but it also offers solutions without government edicts, or even upsetting our economic lives and routines. Indeed, Prof. Buffington makes a compelling case that more should and can be done to manage the disposal and potential reuse of plastics with emerging technologies by reordering the global plastic supply chain system to link industry synergistically with the natural world. Importantly, in solving the growing problem of “peak plastic,” he does not present a zero-sum choice as other prominent environmentalists so often do by, for example, proposing to curb carbon emissions through expansive command-and-control government over the private economy and lowering living standards.

The solutions to peak plastic from Prof. Buffington are presented in five steps. These steps involve market incentives and industry transparency about toxins in plastics production to spur cxhanges. He also promotes scientific innovation in the process of polymerization for producing plastic products that would transform the global supply chain in a way that makes plastics more reusable, more compatible with a clean environment, and economically profitable. Pitting the two against each other—a growing economy and a cleaner environment—Buffington believes is a “false narrative.”

Solving peak plastic is a tall order and more complex than Professor Buffington acknowledges in his five sequential solutions. Governments, industry and the scientific community would need to coordinate in a colossal version of herding cats in order to get to a place where the production and reuse of plastic becomes a closed-loop supply chain that virtually eliminates the resulting waste in the near-term. Nevertheless, Buffington presents ideas that should continue to be explored, if for no other reason than to mitigate, if not avert, a growing global environmental problem. Otherwise accepting the status quo in plastic development and disposal is shortsighted and unwise.


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  • Peter Murphy

    Peter Murphy is Senior Fellow at CFACT. He has researched and advocated for a variety of policy issues, including education reform and fiscal policy, both in the non-profit sector and in government in the administration of former New York Governor George Pataki. He previously wrote and edited The Chalkboard weblog for the NY Charter Schools Association, and has been published in numerous media outlets, including The Hill, New York Post, Washington Times and the Wall Street Journal. Twitter: @PeterMurphy26 Website: https://www.petermurphylgs.com/