BY JOE BASTARDI:

While sunspot activity has been going down, net incoming radiation has not.  Is temperature responding to it?

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You can’t run from that.

This would imply more evaporation off the ocean, more Water Vapor WV) in the air.  Since WV is correlated with temperature, and CO2 is not, what would that imply?

Now, also moving up is my pet: Geothermal ( for the man-made warming people, CO2 is yours).

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For CO2 people:

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There has been a rise since 1950. Yet, we see ups and downs in temps.

In addition, the bands that CO2 uses for its back radiative property (absorbs Outgoing Long Wave Radiation {OLR} from the earth, then that in turn acts upon the air around it) have been saturated since 1950. Yet, from 1950-1990 the change in ocean temperatures was very small, and without that big a change, global temp rise was limited  I have shown this many times in other posts.

What is driving geothermal?

https://theethicalskeptic.com/tag/core-exothermic-cycle/

Now what might be causing that?

Well with the upward overall trend in incoming radiation and the sun with 99.86% of the solar system’s mass, there are liable to be gravitational changes. Combine that with some of the other gravitational influences (Jupiter, for instance) it may be impacting the pressure on the crust of the ocean floor allowing 10 million geothermal vents to be more active. Again, how the heck can I know this? But then again, how the heck can you know it’s not?

So, here is the bottom line. If you dismiss the 2 big natural forcings, one with 99.86% of the mass of the solar system, the other which can be heated from the sun and below with 99% of the energy of the earth/atmosphere system, then, yes, all you are left with is man’s input.

If you lean on what appears to be a huge amount of source regions of energy, the sun and geothermal, then man’s influence is not a factor, as we have seen all through time until now according to man-made climate change people.

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If you say, okay let us give all 3 equal weight, knowing the CO2 radiative bands have been saturated since 1950 and it is those bands that are responsible for the radiative effects that cause the warming, it seems there is more going on here.

It comes down to water vapor and what is warming the ocean since that releases so much of the water vapor.

I will go no further except to hope you have an open mind and open heart to at least listen.

I am partial to geothermal — that is obvious — because I am tired of seeing these hot spots explode and then I get hit in the head with a hammer.

In any case, the weather aspect is this: With fewer clouds over the tropics (there is a theory that is a function of the cosmic rays of the sun), or as I believe, it is due to distorted warming spreading out the Vertical Velocity  (VV) fields, distorting the global wind oscillation and temperature patterns). It leaves the tropical Atlantic as the place for the tropics to go wild. We caught that last year using the hypothesis I have put forward: with the La Nina and the Indo-Pacific cooling, the imbalance of the warmer Atlantic and cooler Pacific has to focus the greatest tropical activity in our basin. So, you see there is a practical aspect to looking at all this, no matter what the driver, though I suspect it is strongly natural as it always has been before.