But the big story on Action News (Weather) is the Arctic

These are the temperatures in the Arctic since May first. The blue line represents the average

I have gone back through all the records on this site

https://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

They go back to 1958

There is nothing even close. It appears that since May 10, temperatures have set records for the date 75-90% of the time

The Arctic has not warmed in the winter.

Which is interesting because how the heck are you supposed to melt the ice cap completely if the average high is barely above freezing? You know how long it takes to melt ice. Think about what happened this winter when sleet and freezing rain iced up the snow cover in parts of the northeast. The warming is in the summer, and it’s easy to see why. If you add more water vapor to the air, the resulting increase in temperature where it’s coldest and driest is much greater. Clouds form more quickly. SLP is lower. winds become stronger, leading to more mixing. And it likely means ice does not accumulate as fast (combine that with the warm AMO putting warm water so far north) in winter, so you are getting less ice in the winter but holding tough in the summer. And with record lows in the winter for the time of year, it means, if it’s not hitting record lows later in the summer melt season, that you probably are close to records for LEAST ICE MELT IN THE SUMMER SEASON. We have a shot this year, since it appears the trend in the Arctic sea ice from the record winter low is going to mean it’s nowhere near 2012, certainly nothing like what has been promoted (ice-free several times)

The solid dark blue is this year, the lighter blue is the 10-year mean from 2011-2020. The dashed line in 2012 and the record low

I would say, given this 46-day forecast for temps and snow

It’s likely not to get there. By the end of this period, it’s August

And look at Greenland. Once again the Surface mass budget has been showing more above-normal gains than below-normal losses

Like elementary climate theory from the 1960s and 1970s, if it gets warmer, it’s going to snow more in cold areas, and try to counter

And btw, if you get more than average snow, and then it melts to the average, it does mean that there is more melt than normal, BUT BECAUSE THERE IS MORE SNOW IN THE FIRST PLACE.

2013 and or 2014, back-to-back years after the Arctic hit its record low in ice in 2012, were the coldest May-Sept on record so far

largely because it failed to reach the average for much of the summer

But this year is blowing it away so far

It’s amazing. A heat wave in Europe, and yes, it’s bad, it’s supposed to be, I was warning the French government on Twitter 2003 is coming

Here is a quote from D-Day

“Attention French govt. Better make contingency plans to avoid the 2003 heat fiasco. It’s coming again, and this summer could rival 2003. See what a nice ally Americans can be? Like this day in 1944?

Not one of the climate hysterics screaming about the heat now had any idea of this at the time. They are coming out of the woodwork. They wait for something they did not predict because they do not look, and then when it happens, they scream man-made climate change.

Yet not a peep out of the meteo media about what is going on in the Arctic, where all these doom and gloom comments have been made for the better part of this century

But we have been there and done that in Europe. Jun-Aug 2003

So it’s not unprecedented, and in fact, you could see it coming.

In fact I warned the French government on x about it June 6 with a sarcastic remark about how Americans saved them before

What could turn out to be unprecedented is the cold in the Arctic this summer, not a peep.

We know monster heat waves have happened all through history.  In 1911, one in 1911 killed over 40 thousand

But in the years we have had records in the Arctic (since 1958), we have not seen anything this cold at this time of year.  One may argue the heat because of its impact, despite the fact that cold kills 10 times more, and they can put in air conditioning if not for the insanity of their climate policies, is more important. To a person arguing about the climate, the very place that is supposed to be ice-free being at its coldest ever in the time of the year where the air can melt ice, is a huge event, and one that, of course, they would like to cover up

And by the way, another local ocean heat wave, like the one off SoCal in March that aided the record warmth then, is off Europe

Notice, though, the countering cold in the North Atlantic and the cool in the tropical areas. No one is going to show you that

So there is a balancing act underway at this very moment in the Atlantic.  Just as there is a balancing act somewhere on earth to the heat in Europe.   And that being in the Arctic is huge.   The Antarctic is cold too, except for one place where they focus, again, a product of warm water. So we get back to what is causing the oceans to warm, and that is something we have talked about before.

It’s Propaganda 101. Only show what you want people to see, which does have an element of truth, but show nothing else.

The Euro heat is impressive and huge, but in terms of something we have not seen, the arctic cold at this time of year is just as or more.