Climate modeling civil war
Some serious players are rejecting the new hot models.
Some serious players are rejecting the new hot models.
Global warming policy is based on climate computer models. These simulations of the temperature of the Earth are wrong and always have been. They start out on the left side of the graph looking pretty good. They have to. Real-world recorded temperature observations had already been made. It's like projecting the results of races that have already been run. As soon as the models start trying to project the future, however, they diverge wildly from reality, pretty much always running way too hot. Projecting races that have not yet run is a trickier business. Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr. John Christy [...]
In 68 simulations the climate experts repeatedly discover how a fantasy Earth warmed twice as fast as the real Earth has.
People accustomed to seeing forecasts of things that are somewhat remote, somewhat abstract in time, place, and consequences are suddenly being exposed to how the sausage is made in predictive forecasting, and many are not liking what they’ve seen.
Why would you base claims of catastrophic warming on faulty modeling that has factored in co2, rather than reality?
The difference between the real world and the modeled world has already existed for 30 years. Unfortunately, instead of getting smaller due to a proper validation process, this difference has become bigger.
Aren't we entitled to a reality check before we turn over control of our economy to the Left to redistribute our wealth?
The NCA warns of what "might" happen, while 84% of its Key Messages are based on highly speculative modeling of worst case future scenarios.
Climate change research needs to be refocused and the climate models reconfigured, in order to correctly match observations. That is how science is supposed to work.
he standard argument takes the following form: "We can get the model to do X, using human causes, but not without them, so human causes must be the cause of X."
No CO2 caused global warming over the entire satellite temperature record?
The thrust of each video is that the climate models are wrong and we need to understand why. WATCH NOW
Can the global warming campaign keep scaring us if their predictions never come true?
Satellite observations continue to reveal the climate computer model epic fail. Can climate science be both settled and wrong at the same time?
Warming would only be as high as 1.8 degrees Celsius — less than half of what IPCC originally predicted.