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Climate models hotter than reality

By |2021-04-27T12:04:54-04:00April 29th, 2021|Climate|

Global warming policy is based on climate computer models. These simulations of the temperature of the Earth are wrong and always have been. They start out on the left side of the graph looking pretty good.  They have to.  Real-world recorded temperature observations had already been made. It's like projecting the results of races that have already been run. As soon as the models start trying to project the future, however, they diverge wildly from reality, pretty much always running way too hot. Projecting races that have not yet run is a trickier business. Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr. John Christy [...]

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Forecast models encounter reality

By , |2020-05-27T14:56:26-04:00May 28th, 2020|Economy|

People accustomed to seeing forecasts of things that are somewhat remote, somewhat abstract in time, place, and consequences are suddenly being exposed to how the sausage is made in predictive forecasting, and many are not liking what they’ve seen.

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